|
Forecast
Daily Market Commentary
Free Password for longer term projections
Longer term projections
Investing
Philosophy
Method
Artificial Intelligence
Risk
Bio
Pension
Funds and Endowments
Our Investment Programs
Contact
|
94%
is found by taking 100% and subtracting the time down from the time up. We
know that 53% of the time the market moves up. this leaves 47% of the time it
moves down (100% -53%=47%). That means the difference in days up minus days down
is 53%-47% or 6%. the rest of the days cancel themselves out. 100% - 6% =94%. So
94% of the time it goes up and down, but those days do not account for any
market gain.
-
A
good investment program should work under all conditions and markets.
-
The
investment program should be based upon elements that are not subject to
rapid change.
-
The
program should be stable yet adaptable and capable of being upgraded with
new data in a manor constant with the original design.
-
The
investment method should be understandable and every element making up the
program should make sense.
-
If
the program does not have enough information to make a decision with a
statistical edge it should recognize that and stay out.
-
The
program should provide clear objective signals so that operator emotion does
not have an influence.
Back
to Method
|