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Palisades Research

Registered Investment Advisors

Daily stock market forecast

 

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2006 - 2010 Track Record

Our actual managed client accounts

S&P500

NASDAQ 100

+128.4%

-14.6%

+6.1 %

Actual verifiable managed account from Jan 1, 2006 through Feb 5, 2010.

Our 4 year annual compound growth rate 2006 - 2009 is +24.1% while our total 

market exposure has been significantly less than that of the S&P or NDX 

resulting in less risk for our clients.

 Our fee is not included but is as low as 1% on accounts over $78,000.

(These are real, not hypothetical values.)

 

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Daily forecast for the S&P500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes:

Forecast Made: Forecast For: Direction
Feb 8  2010 Feb 9,  2010 Short

(Remember to reload your screen if old date appears.)

Probability for next day:

   Up Probability Average  amount (up) Down Probability Average amount (down)
S&P 73% .64% 27% -.72%
NDX 72% 1.89% 28% -.61%

We give individual probabilities and ranges based on the S&P500 and Nasdaq100, each uses different criteria and so the values can differ, they are most reliable when the probabilities are both in the same direction.  * means insufficient data. **Means the signal was unstable near the close and not as reliable. This is a forecast not a recommendation. Read our comments for our current position.

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Our fee is not included in above data. Accounts over $78,000 still only 1% per year.

 

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2010 Track Record 

Our actual managed client accounts S&P 500 Nasdaq 100
-3.7% -4.4% -6.2%

Actual verifiable managed account from January 1, 2010 through February 5, 2010 

 

 

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By continually working on improvement we are able to remain on top of the markets. This enabled us to continue to make strong gains during the market crash in 2008. The program's capabilities have greatly improved over the past 6+ years as it learns from new data and we learn from our experience. This is the same program we use to manage our accounts.  These are the actual numbers from our accounts.

 

 

Table updated weekly.  Our actual managed account is our real account using Rydex Funds. It does not show deductions for our low quarterly fees. All our Rydex traded accounts trade the same way. 

 

free T-Index software

Read our Daily Comment: We tell you our positions and market expectations a day in advance.  We have provided the daily forecast continuously since Nov. 17, 2000.

Signals for the S&P500 posted after  2:30 pm Pacific time (one and a half hours after the close) for the next trading day.

Our program, using no-load index funds is designed to work under all market conditions and has done so, in actual trading with real money, for the past 8 years. Over this time frame we have greatly out performed the markets, with lower draw downs than the markets, dispelling the theory that trading always involves high risk.  The forecast (above) is for the next market day only.  The probability chart shows the probability and expected amount of the move (explanation).  Watch these forecasts, you will need patience because we only trade when we believe we have a high probability of being correct.  We are in the market, on average about 4 days per week, the rest of the time we are safe in the money market. Sometimes we are only partially invested. The program was developed to keep risk at a minimum and to produce large gains.  This program measures "investor emotion" and "inter-market money flow"--it took thousands of hours and a number of years to develop. The program is capable of learning and adapts to new market conditions.  

These are real transactions, not hypothetical calculations.  Our real-money transactions are made using no load Rydex 2x strategy Mutual funds.  The active aggressive (2x) account moved between the Rydex S&P 500 2x strategy fund, Inverse S&P 500 2x strategy and money market. As of June 12, 2003 they also included the Rydex Nasdaq 100 2x strategy and Inverse Nasdaq 100 2x strategy funds. Our program uses signals generated a few minutes prior to the market close in order to place the trades with Rydex, our daily comments will let you know exactly what we are doing.

There have been a number of improvements to the program since inception in August of 2000. The program learns from experience and has now digested a bear market as well as the prior bull run and has provided a good deal of protection for us during this severe down-turn.   We are Registered Investment Advisors.   

If you would like us to manage your account using this very program, see our Investment Programs.  

Please do not trade these signals on your own. We are not responsible for any losses that may occur.

Visit us often and watch our progress.  Be sure to read the Daily market Commentary every day.  When we say LONG in our comments it means we expect the market to go up and have purchased the Rydex  [S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 or Russell 2000] 2x fund. When we say SHORT it means we expect that the market will go lower and have purchased the Rydex Inverse [S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 or Russell 2000] 2x fund (which move opposite to the market), and when we say Money Market it means we do not have enough information for an informed decision and have moved into the Rydex money market.  This is a very sensible way to invest.  Take a look at our investment programs.

You must remember there is always risk of loss when investing.  Past performance is not a sure indicator of future performance. 

With the trowel of patience, we dig out the roots of truth.

---

French Proverb

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